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nydus/The Principles of SciencePublic
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CHAPTER XXIV. EMPIRICAL KNOWLEDGE, EXPLANATION, AND PREDICTION.

striking events as an eclipse, the appearance of a great comet, or any phenomenon which people can verify with their own eyes. But it is surely a matter for greater wonder that a physicist describes and measures phenomena which eye cannot see, nor sense of any kind detect. In most cases this arises from the effect being too small in amount to affect our organs of sense, or come within the powers of our instruments as at present constructed. But there is a class of yet more remarkable cases, in which a phenomenon cannot possibly be observed, and yet we can say what it would be if it were

In astronomy, systematic aberration is an effect of the sun’s proper motion almost certainly known to exist, but which we have no hope of detecting by observation in the present age of the world. As the earth’s motion round the sun combined with the motion of light causes the stars to deviate apparently from their true positions to the extent of about 18″ at the most, so the motion of the whole planetary system through space must occasion a similar displacement of at most 5″. The ordinary aberration can be readily detected with modern astronomical instruments, because it goes through a yearly change in direction or amount; but systematic aberration is constant so long as the planetary system moves uniformly in a sensibly straight line. Only then in the course of ages, when the curvature of the sun’s path becomes apparent, can we hope to verify the existence of this kind of aberration. A curious effect must also be produced by the sun’s proper motion upon the apparent periods of revolution of the binary stars.

To my mind, some of the most interesting truths in the whole range of science are those which have not been, and in many cases probably never can be, verified by trial. Thus the chemist assigns, with a very high degree of probability, the vapour densities of such elements as carbon and silicon, which have never been observed separately in a state of vapour. The chemist is also familiar with the vapour densities of elements at temperatures at which the elements in question never have been, and probably never can be, submitted to experiment in the form of vapour.

Joule and others have calculated the actual velocity of the molecules of a gas, and even the number of collisions which must take place per second during their constant circulation. Physicists have not yet given us the exact magnitudes of the particles of matter, but they have ascertained by several methods the limits within which their magnitudes must lie. Such scientific results must be for ever beyond the power of verification by the senses. I have elsewhere had occasion to remark that waves of light, the intimate processes of electrical changes, the properties of the ether which is the base of all phenomena, are necessarily determined in a hypothetical, but not therefore a less certain manner.

Though only two of the metals, gold and silver, have ever been observed to be transparent, we know on the grounds of theory that they are all more or less so; we can even estimate by theory their refractive indices, and prove that they are exceedingly high. The phenomena of elliptic polarisation, and perhaps also those of internal radiation,‍27 depend upon the refractive index, and thus, even when we cannot observe any refracted rays, we can indirectly learn how they would be refracted.

In many cases large quantities of electricity must be produced, which we cannot observe because it is instantly discharged. In the common electric machine the cylinder and rubber are made of non-conductors, so that we can separate and accumulate the electricity. But a little damp, by serving as a conductor, prevents this separation from enduring any sensible time. Hence there is no doubt that when we rub two good conductors against each other, for instance two pieces of metals, much electricity is produced, but instantaneously converted into some other form of energy. Joule believes that all the heat of friction is transmuted electricity.

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