VARIOUS APPLICATIONS OF THE THEORY OF PROBABILITY. Chh. XV–XIX.
CHAPTER XV.
INSURANCE AND GAMBLING.
§§ 1, 2. The certainties and uncertainties of life.
3–5. Insurance a means of diminishing the uncertainties.
6, 7. Gambling a means of increasing them.
8, 9. Various forms of gambling.
10, 11. Comparison between these practices.
12–14. Proofs of the disadvantage of gambling:—
(1) on arithmetical grounds:
15, 16. Illustration from family names.
17. (2) from the ‘moral expectation’.
18, 19. Inconclusiveness of these proofs.
20–22. Broader questions raised by these attempts.
CHAPTER XVI.
APPLICATION OF PROBABILITY TO TESTIMONY.
§§ 1, 2. Doubtful applicability of Probability to testimony.
3. Conditions of such applicability.
4. Reasons for the above conditions.
5, 6. Are these conditions fulfilled in the case of testimony?
7. The appeal here is not directly to statistics.
8, 9. Illustrations of the above.